A shocking new survey released Friday by Mercury Analytics finds nearly 20% of the likely Democratic voters polled would cross over in the general election and vote for Republican front-runner Donald Trump.

When crossover voters were asked how sure they were, 63% of the Democrats who said they would crossover were “100% sure.”

Mercury Analytics dial-tested Trump’s first campaign ad, which touches on a variety of issues including ISIS, radical Islamic terrorism and illegal immigration. The firm found 25% of Democrats “agree completely” that the ad raised some good points;  while 44% of Democrats agree “completely” or “somewhat.”

The image below is of the last screen of the dial-testing scores, which shows the ad rated the best among Democrat defectors. The video, which is not embedable, can be seen here.

Trump Mercury Analytics

“We expected Trump’s first campaign spot to strongly appeal to Republican Trump supporters, with little impact – or in fact negative impact – on Democratic or Independent voters,” says Mercury Analytics CEO Ron Howard, a self-identified Democrat.

“However, what we see is that among a segment of Democratic and Independent voters who don’t like the ‘messenger’ of Trump – the issues he is raising (Immigration, Terrorism) are real concerns they share.

He adds, “The challenge to Hillary, if Trump is the nominee and pivots to the center in the general election as a problem-solving, independent minded, successful ‘get it done’ businessman – is that Democrats will no longer be able to count on his personality and outrageous soundbites to disqualify him in the voters’ minds.”

According to the survey firm, “the primary messages of Trump’s ad resonated more than Democratic elites would hope.”

The poll also found 14% of Republicans said they would crossover to vote for Hillary Clinton, though a significantly smaller percentage — 39% — said they were “100% sure.”

The survey, conducted January 6-8, 2016, was a national sample of 916 “likely voters.”

Here’s the ad Mercury Analytics finds so many Democrats like:

Howard’s advice to Trump: “Mr. Trump’s style today concerns and turns off many. However, the issues he raises are real to many voters, and if he gets the nomination, reduces his hyperbolic comments while remaining straight talking, and presents a smart problem-solving and successful business persona, he has the opportunity to reduce the Trump fear factor and raise his acceptability, while Hillary’s negatives may be much harder to reduce.”

A similarly shocking poll conducted in September found a significant percentage of black voters would support Trump in a head-to-head matchup with Hillary Clinton.

The SurveyUSA poll showed in a hypothetical matchup with Hillary Clinton, Trump was ahead 45% to 40%.

But digging into the racial breakdown of the respondents is revealing. For example, the poll finds 25% of black respondents say they would vote for Trump over Clinton.

The Republican to capture the largest share of the black vote was Bob Dole in 1996. He earned just 12% of the votes of African-Americans.

  • guy

    and why is anyone shocked that americans will vote for an american, especially a great one

    • Robert Brown

      You mean a “great” retard who wants to date his own daughter?Conservative pigs are really anti-humanity.

      • JWM

        I have been censored for far less offensive posts. You reach a level of ignorance that is difficult to grasp.

        • Robert Brown

          I mean Trump ,a real living scum,and professional liar who doesn’t know how to speak human language without insulting and lying,what a shame for conservative trash.

          • George Zwierzchowski

            what language is human language? does everyone speak that language?

          • Robert Brown

            What language is not a human language? a language from Trump’s asshole,a language can’t be accepted by humanity,a language only conservative pigs who have no moral can by it.

      • George Zwierzchowski

        If you know for a fact that he never said he wanted to date his daughter in the way your taking it why say it? Its not working. Its making people go check out what hes really saying and finding out they agree with him. seriously, attack his ideas but all this racist, pedophile crap is back firing big time. you guys need new talking points. seriously, get serious.

        • Robert Brown

          He wants to date his own daughter,can any father who has moral and humanity say that do you want to date your daughter,Mr.Stupid?

  • dkag7

    hillbag is toast… if the law dont get her first

  • guy

    anyone that still calls themselves a dem must have some very serious mental/medical issues sort of suicidal and we should FORCE THEM INTO SOME THERAPY

    • Robert Brown

      Anyone who only watches Fucks News as their only news resource really has no brain.Fuck conservative pigs,no education,low IQ,RACISM,fucking RETARD.

      • americanmirror

        Someone who writes this accuses Republicans of “no education, low IQ”? Ha!

        • John (magnum)

          Why hasn’t he been removed and banned ?

          • Robert Brown

            Because America is great,Trump and his white trash supporters are so disgusting.

      • JWM

        You are truly a mental defective.

        • Robert Brown

          Conservatives =mental unstable ,low education ,anti-humanity,racism ,anti-women,never believing in science ,blaming Obama for all their own faults

      • guy

        duh yu so right, yu so smart so sorry to bother yu, but you are correct fox is as bad as all the pathetic lying msm, try o a n net work so far pretty good. and anyone that is named robert brown must be bobbing for turds on a regular basis

      • Lore

        Nothing like reality to watch a liberal come unhinged. LOL. And nothing quite as entertaining as a racist one, either. Your comments show a great vein of hate for white folks……. either that or JEALOUSY. But measuring by your volume of posts I’m guessing you don’t have a lot going for you in your life, so it’s not surprising……….

        • Robert Brown

          Yeah, what a failure for conservatives, Fucks news says you should kill yourself, so you just hang yourself,because Fucks news is the only one you can Trust,how poor you are

      • George Zwierzchowski

        you forgot to call him a nazi and a homophobe.
        you see, thats whats turning America off of the democrats. they don’t have any arguments for their positions other than ad hominem statements that mean nothing anyymore. everyone is a nazi to you guys. people have had enough. people dont want to say jenner is a hero or be called a nazi and a racist anymore. Your party no longer stands for the working man and his diminished wages, (which by the way has always been what being left was about. nope, its about turning everyone into wishy washy man hating libtards. redefining everything from heroics to feminism.
        We’re all sick of it….even many democrats.
        stop with the silly insults and give some cogent arguments and then folks will talk again. But hillary? “we came, we saw, He died….ha ha ha ha.” That Hillery? your going with that hunh? get some balls and stand up for your principles. What happened to the peaceniks?

        • Robert Brown

          You see,that’s why Obama Beat conservative pigs for twice in presidential elections, poor conservative pigs who only lives in mud and think all the human beings live in mud ,too.

          • Christopher Furlong

            Obama promised jobs. And by jobs I don’t mean crappy jobs.

            Twice lied to by Bill Clinton and Obama… very plausible..

      • magic1114

        Ooooh, so frightening! Get out of mommy’s basement much?

        • Robert Brown

          Ooooh, so frightening! You should’t get out of the prion.

  • John (magnum)

    Cankles and Billy BJ should both be behind bars !!

    Don’t look behind the curtain !


    • Johnny Tremain

      That’s BOLD

  • Richard Brown

    Looking at all the comments makes me wonder WTF. First thing is people have a right to their own political beliefs. However these days the propaganda on both sides is ridiculous. It also shows the ignorancevon both sides brought on by social media Lies and BS which had also dropped the National IQ by atleast 20 points.

    Working together for compromise is the only way to get this country hoing in the right direction. All the fighting allows the politicians to donehat they want and its destroying this country.

    We need congress to work on only single item bills. That way every politician is held accountable for each vote. No pork projects crammed in because that is always wasteful spending ideas.

    Stop allowing them to control us.

    • TJHillgardner

      Nonsense centrist crap. Trump is evidence that some Republicans don’t sell out their principles while Sanders is evidence that some Democrats don’t sell out theirs. Candidates like Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Hillary Clinton are evidence that the banksters and the MIC control the establishment compromisers. Its time for a political revolution.

  • Be Still

    Because common sense makes common sense. Llibs in name only have seen true leftists and they do not like it.

  • NAmericanBlueJacket

    Monica said she’s voting for a republican because the democrats left a bad taste in her mouth.

    • Robert Brown

      Monica said she is really disgusted by conservative pigs who used her as a political weapons to attack Bill for decades and she loves Bill,but conservative pigs never win, because they are too stupid,Clinton won’t play mud with conservative pigs.

  • magic1114

    Although the Democratic party has swung waaaay to the left, there are still a lot of mainstream Democrats (the bluedogs). I suspect they’re finally getting a look at their party of choice and not liking what they see. At any rate I’m hoping that they really do put party aside and do what’s right for America…

    • TJHillgardner

      And that would be vote for Bernie Sanders?

  • JerryUSA2015

    “Mercury Analytics”?

    Are they this year’s Unskewed Polls?

  • JerryUSA2015

    More shocking:

    Trump: “really admires” Kim Jong Un and says “you have to give him credit.”

  • I think the article is bullshit